Sunday, April 19, 2020

.08%, not 7%.

COVID-19 is also more deadly than seasonal influenza. The crude mortality rate for COVID-19, based on confirmed cases to date, is currently estimated by the WHO to be between 3-4%, with seasonal influenza sitting well below 0.1%. However, it is important to note that these figures are heavily influenced by the availability of quality healthcare, and by case data. -- [source]

What is the denominator?

Finally, some numbers are coming out about the denominator. Using Dr. Bhattacharya's lower estimate - 2.8 % - the global number of infected people would be around .028 X 7,000,000,000 = 196,000,000.

The death rate, as of today from worldOmeter, would be about 161,126 / 196,000,000 = .08%, not 7%.

So it's more like the seasonal flu, after all.

Demand freedom.

Lies, Damned Lies and Coronavirus Statistics


I went to a different grocery store today, partly to pick up some Tata tea for $4.99, which was sold out, and partly to observe all the colorful costumes people were wearing to celebrate this mega-holiday.

If public mask-wearing DOES become mandatory, I would hope they at least allow some latitude for personal expression, because I will be wearing a white sheet under a dunce cap.

It was total anarchy at the store. No one was observing the traffic signs on the floor! People were just travelling in whatever way they wanted to - sort of like in a free country.


Pandemics In The Age Of Snowflakes


Martin Armstrong Discusses the Coronavirus Panic, Reopening Economies.

1 comment:

  1. Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose


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Some very old stuff

Four of the essays I wrote back in the 1990s.